Filipinos consider the prospects of the “Duterte-Duterte” government


The Philippines has witnessed its own political dynasty, including two presidents with the same surname Aquino.

As the race to replace President Rodrigo Duterte intensifies, Filipinos are speculating about something the Southeast Asian country has not seen: the Duterte-Duterte government.

The 76-year-old leader was banned from seeking re-election. Running for vice presidentThis increases the possibility that he may stay on the political stage for many years, just as Russian President Vladimir Putin did by rotating between the positions of President and Prime Minister.

Duterte’s 43-year-old daughter Sara, the mayor of Davao in southern Mindanao, leads the polls of potential presidential candidates and is expected to run separately from her father.

Although Sara Duterte ruled out the presidential race last week, her supporters have been urging her to run, and many believe she will run. Before the candidate application deadline on October 8th, some people have already started posting “Run, Sara, Run” posters and banners across the country.

Her father was formally appointed as the vice presidential candidate of his PDP-Laban party last week, and his assistant Christopher “Bong” Go ran for president. The Philippines allows voters to separate their choices of president and vice president, which increases the probability of father and daughter winning the two top positions.

Sara Duterte follows the same rude populism as her father, but unlike him, she recently visited Washington © Lisa Marie David/Reuters

“This is Putin’s formula: let the president hold a subordinate position and let a submissive running dog be the president,” said Manuel Quezon, a columnist for the Inquirer and a former official of the late government. Benigno Aquino III.

“Let them all work with weak running partners to avoid the visual effect of running on one ticket.”

For the young Duterte, this will be the second time she has held a position with her father: in 2010, she took over as mayor of Davao City after her term expired.

Experts have been trading mixed words “daughter” It implies that she may have enough support to build a national base similar to her father. Like Rodrigo Duterte (Rodrigo Duterte), she has portrayed the image of a combative champion of ordinary people.she Instagram There are photos of her posing next to a motorcycle on the page, including one with the hashtag #bikerchick.

In 2011, a police chief refused to postpone the demolition of the Davao shantytown, where she tried to calm the conflict, so she slapped a police chief in the face.

However, there are signs that if Sara Duterte wins state office, she will become her own woman. “She doesn’t copy and paste everything from her father,” said Aries Arugay, a professor of political science at Diliman University in the Philippines.

Last month, when her father proposed the idea of ​​running with Go, she said it was “not a pleasant thing” and urged them to “openly admit” that they planned to run. “I respectfully advise them to stop talking about me and make me the reason they don’t run or run,” she said in a sharp post on Facebook.

Unlike her father, a sharp American critic who had not visited the White House, she went Washington participated in a leadership program sponsored by the State Department last year.

Considering that Rodrigo Duterte may be sued in the future, the bond between father and daughter is related.In a country where the former president was sued by his successor, the president has say clearly He is seeking to serve as vice president to avoid being held liable for any wrongdoing.

Fatou Bensouda, the outgoing chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court Said In June of this year, she believed that there was a “reasonable basis” for believing that Duterte had committed crimes against humanity during the “War on Drugs” in which the police or security guards killed thousands of people.International Criminal Court Open The preliminary investigation into the President’s 2018 iconic public policy prompted Duterte to extract Philippines from the UN court.

Early polls showed that Duterte and his daughter would be popular candidates. As some people have said as a rough form of presidential populism, five years of Duterism has wiped out the opposition Liberal party formed by the successor of former President Corazon Aquino.Duterte’s control social media And key constituencies such as overseas workers have maintained his high popularity.

Elaine Mary Corrado, the country director of the Philippines at Vriens & Partners, a government affairs consulting firm, said: “There really is no other candidate who can compete with the Duterte brand and hope to win.”

A sort of polling In the selection conducted by Pulse Asia in June, Duterte became the best contender for the vice president with an approval rate of 18%, and his daughter became the presidential candidate with an approval rate of 28%.

However, because the Philippine presidential campaign is usually decided in the last few weeks, including the one where Duterte was elected in 2016, analysts say that this area is still open.

Corrado said: “I would hesitate to say that Duterte will definitely campaign before he submits an application.”

As Sara Duterte’s possible running mate, the Filipino speculates Ferdinand (“Bongbong”) Marcos Jr Or Imee Marcos, the child of the late dictator Ferdinand Marcos, may join her campaign.

Manny Pacquiao, a boxer who belongs to Duterte’s PDP-Laban party but fell out with Duterte, may also announce his candidacy for president, and Manila’s popular mayor Francisco (“Isco”) Moreno It is also possible to announce candidacy.

Follow John Reid on Twitter: @JohnReedwrites


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