History repeats itself in tragedy in Afghanistan

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Afghanistan Update

At an alarming rate, the Taliban’s lightning attack on Afghanistan has reached Kabul City Gate. President Ashraf Ghani is holding emergency talks. The United States faces a humiliation similar to the fall of Saigon in 1975—just last month, President Joe Biden considered this to be untrustworthy. This is a tragedy for the people of the country, and a betrayal of the thousands of American and allied troops and more than 120,000 Afghan citizens who lost their lives in the 20-year war. This is also a serious setback for the credibility of the democratic society that the United States and Biden hope to consolidate.

It was President Donald Trump who announced that the U.S. forces will withdraw in 2021, provided that the Taliban fulfilled their promises in the peace agreement signed by the head of the Afghan government last year. But continuing to withdraw is Biden’s choice.

It is true that domestic political costs may be very low. Opinion polls show that Americans are tired of “eternal war” today, just as they did under Trump. Maintaining the chaotic military deadlock into which Afghanistan has fallen is a difficult political pitch. However, in terms of the global status of the United States, misjudgments will plague the rest of President Biden.

Biden may still be able to advocate for drastic reductions in the US military — since 2015, the number of US military casualties has also decreased significantly — and continue to be the backing of the Afghan army, just as the United States has maintained a long-term presence in Germany and South Korea. On the contrary, the White House either disregarded intelligence warnings and continued to withdraw its troops. What will happen next, or Attack speed This is indeed unexpected-in a country where the United States has been rooted for two decades, this lack of insight is surprising.

However Afghanistan collapses This not only reflects the failure of military and intelligence, but also reflects the failure to establish a more powerful country on the entire territory in 20 years. The initial goal of the intervention after 9/11 was to prevent Al Qaeda from using the country as a base for further attacks.Although President George W. Bush invoked the Marshall Plan in 2002 when he promised to rebuild Afghanistan, the United States has now spent more than Trillions of dollars In its campaign activities, it has never prepared to invest enough resources for the kind of nation-building it carried out after the Second World War. It really invested time and money to train and equip the army. But the Afghan army’s strategy to contain the Taliban depends on the support of the United States, especially air support.

Successive Afghan governments also have responsibilities. Corruption and dysfunctional management have seriously hampered nation-building efforts. Afghan leaders also refused to reach an agreement with the Taliban, especially in 2011-12, when Islamic fighters were weak and their demands were relatively limited.

Some long-time Afghan observers now recommend the restoration of Taliban rule. Although it will be bloody and oppressive, it may be less catastrophic than the alternative of sliding into a full-scale civil war, with different countries supporting different factions.

However, not only the long-suffering people of Afghanistan, but the United States and its allies will also have to bear the consequences. A wave of refugees fleeing Afghanistan has begun. The country may once again become a base for jihadists.

The wishes of the White House wrap up Nagging about foreign policy issues in order to focus on China is understandable.But give up Afghanistan Raise suspicion The depth of America’s commitment to its so-called allies, and its determination to persevere in military entanglements. As one of the largest and most costly foreign policy priorities of the North Atlantic Alliance collapses this century, Beijing will not forget these lessons.

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